The Bulgarian Variation: A Non-Parametric Statistical Spy Novel

Author(s): Elliott Ostler

Edition: 1

Copyright: 2023

Pages: 328

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$35.28

ISBN 9798765756430

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A threatening e-mail, a bone shattering explosion, and murdered National Security Agency Assistant Director are all sending the same signal through the United States Intelligence Community… the world is significantly out of balance. The genius of Agent Kurt Osis and his team of Agency misfits reveal an independent covert Intelligence Group made up of spies and their descendants from all over the world who have been manipulating the international Intelligence trade since before the Second World War. The group claims to maintain the delicate but necessary balance between the world’s superpowers by exposing carefully selected international secrets, those that quell the aggressors and empower their victims, but are they as altruistic as they claim? In seeking the enemy, Kurt and his friends become the enemy with only one hope for survival… by strategically leveraging non-parametric statistical solutions in a way that brings the Intelligence world back into Balance. 

This spy story is part of a literary genre known as instructional fiction. The Bulgarian Variation provides authentic and academically sequenced non-parametric statistical applications through an intricate plot of spy craft within the international landscape of Intelligence gathering and espionage. As the plot thickens, the judicious use of basic statistical terms, calculations, and graphical concepts embedded in the story grows proportionately through the unexpected conclusion. One does not need a statistical inclination to enjoy or understand the plot, so readers are invited to work alongside the characters, verifying their statistical findings, or simply enjoy a good story. Whether reading for knowledge or leisure, The Bulgarian Variation is perfect for instructors providing guided non-parametric statistics instruction in the classroom or who are looking for a unique addition to their personal collection.

Prologue: The Devil's Pawn (The Complexity of Data)
Chapter 1: Cartwright Hauffman, (Analytic Profiles)
Chapter 2:  The Institute, (Non-Parametric Statistics)
Chapter 3: Gerald McKennan, (Graphical Analytics) 
Chapter 4: Three Blind MICE (Proportion Tests) 
Chapter 5: Wydmark Billingsley, (Sign Tests)
Chapter 6: The Lincolnshire Poacher, (Ranks Test) 
Chapter 7: The Variation, (Correlation) 
Chapter 8: Which Thousand Words is a Picture Worth? (Decomposition Clustering and Dendrograms) 
Chapter 9: The Descendants, (Effect Size) 
Chapter 10: The Recruits, (Logistic Regression)
Chapter 11: Betty Adele Bruner - AKA Bulgarian Betty, (The Prisoner's Dilemma and Decision Making)
Chapter 12:  The Price of Balance, (Data Interpretation)
Epilogue A: The Retribution, (Predictions from Data) 
Epilogue B: The Questions, (Predicting Questions)
Epilogue C: The Resolution, (Predicting Outcomes)

Elliott Ostler

Elliott Ostler is a university professor with nearly 30 years of experience teaching in the Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) disciplines.  He has spent more than two decades researching and applying the most effective non-traditional teaching techniques for students who struggle to learn mathematics and science content.  His own early academic struggles with mathematics and science compelled him to look at technical subjects through unique and practical applications.  As a result of his many academic curiosities, he has published research in a diverse spectrum of academic areas ranging from educational measurement and assessment to quantum cryptography.  He has also written mathematics teaching and learning resources, consulted with nationally recognized STEM organizations, and patented an innovative teaching tool.  The Romanian Gambit is his third mathematically based novel.

A threatening e-mail, a bone shattering explosion, and murdered National Security Agency Assistant Director are all sending the same signal through the United States Intelligence Community… the world is significantly out of balance. The genius of Agent Kurt Osis and his team of Agency misfits reveal an independent covert Intelligence Group made up of spies and their descendants from all over the world who have been manipulating the international Intelligence trade since before the Second World War. The group claims to maintain the delicate but necessary balance between the world’s superpowers by exposing carefully selected international secrets, those that quell the aggressors and empower their victims, but are they as altruistic as they claim? In seeking the enemy, Kurt and his friends become the enemy with only one hope for survival… by strategically leveraging non-parametric statistical solutions in a way that brings the Intelligence world back into Balance. 

This spy story is part of a literary genre known as instructional fiction. The Bulgarian Variation provides authentic and academically sequenced non-parametric statistical applications through an intricate plot of spy craft within the international landscape of Intelligence gathering and espionage. As the plot thickens, the judicious use of basic statistical terms, calculations, and graphical concepts embedded in the story grows proportionately through the unexpected conclusion. One does not need a statistical inclination to enjoy or understand the plot, so readers are invited to work alongside the characters, verifying their statistical findings, or simply enjoy a good story. Whether reading for knowledge or leisure, The Bulgarian Variation is perfect for instructors providing guided non-parametric statistics instruction in the classroom or who are looking for a unique addition to their personal collection.

Prologue: The Devil's Pawn (The Complexity of Data)
Chapter 1: Cartwright Hauffman, (Analytic Profiles)
Chapter 2:  The Institute, (Non-Parametric Statistics)
Chapter 3: Gerald McKennan, (Graphical Analytics) 
Chapter 4: Three Blind MICE (Proportion Tests) 
Chapter 5: Wydmark Billingsley, (Sign Tests)
Chapter 6: The Lincolnshire Poacher, (Ranks Test) 
Chapter 7: The Variation, (Correlation) 
Chapter 8: Which Thousand Words is a Picture Worth? (Decomposition Clustering and Dendrograms) 
Chapter 9: The Descendants, (Effect Size) 
Chapter 10: The Recruits, (Logistic Regression)
Chapter 11: Betty Adele Bruner - AKA Bulgarian Betty, (The Prisoner's Dilemma and Decision Making)
Chapter 12:  The Price of Balance, (Data Interpretation)
Epilogue A: The Retribution, (Predictions from Data) 
Epilogue B: The Questions, (Predicting Questions)
Epilogue C: The Resolution, (Predicting Outcomes)

Elliott Ostler

Elliott Ostler is a university professor with nearly 30 years of experience teaching in the Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) disciplines.  He has spent more than two decades researching and applying the most effective non-traditional teaching techniques for students who struggle to learn mathematics and science content.  His own early academic struggles with mathematics and science compelled him to look at technical subjects through unique and practical applications.  As a result of his many academic curiosities, he has published research in a diverse spectrum of academic areas ranging from educational measurement and assessment to quantum cryptography.  He has also written mathematics teaching and learning resources, consulted with nationally recognized STEM organizations, and patented an innovative teaching tool.  The Romanian Gambit is his third mathematically based novel.